Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000569 0.000649 0.000733 0.000829 0.000936 0.001049 0.001179
2025-11-16 0.000429 0.000536 0.000658 0.000806 0.000979 0.001174 0.001410
2025-11-23 0.000351 0.000468 0.000607 0.000783 0.000999 0.001251 0.001567
2025-11-30 0.000301 0.000424 0.000578 0.000780 0.001035 0.001344 0.001740
2025-12-07 0.000263 0.000390 0.000555 0.000779 0.001071 0.001432 0.001907
2025-12-14 0.000229 0.000357 0.000529 0.000770 0.001092 0.001501 0.002049
2025-12-21 0.000199 0.000327 0.000503 0.000757 0.001106 0.001558 0.002176
2025-12-28 0.000185 0.000316 0.000503 0.000779 0.001165 0.001674 0.002382
2026-01-04 0.000170 0.000303 0.000497 0.000791 0.001211 0.001773 0.002567
2026-01-11 0.000152 0.000282 0.000479 0.000784 0.001229 0.001835 0.002702
2026-01-18 0.000136 0.000263 0.000460 0.000774 0.001241 0.001887 0.002826
2026-01-25 0.000125 0.000251 0.000453 0.000780 0.001275 0.001971 0.002994
2026-02-01 0.000113 0.000238 0.000442 0.000781 0.001302 0.002045 0.003151
2026-02-08 0.000098 0.000215 0.000415 0.000755 0.001288 0.002060 0.003225
2026-02-15 0.000085 0.000197 0.000393 0.000734 0.001280 0.002084 0.003312
2026-02-22 0.000077 0.000186 0.000382 0.000731 0.001299 0.002145 0.003452
2026-03-01 0.000070 0.000177 0.000373 0.000730 0.001321 0.002212 0.003602
2026-03-08 0.000063 0.000165 0.000360 0.000722 0.001329 0.002258 0.003722
2026-03-15 0.000056 0.000154 0.000346 0.000709 0.001331 0.002293 0.003827
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000152 0.000350 0.000730 0.001386 0.002412 0.004058
2026-03-29 0.000050 0.000148 0.000349 0.000742 0.001428 0.002511 0.004261
2026-04-05 0.000045 0.000140 0.000339 0.000735 0.001438 0.002560 0.004390
2026-04-12 0.000041 0.000131 0.000327 0.000726 0.001443 0.002600 0.004505